Statistics

Poisson Distribution Calculator

The Poisson distribution models the number of events in a fixed interval when events happen at a constant average rate λ, independently. Enter λ and a target k to get the point probability, the cumulative probabilities and the (equal) mean and variance.

Poisson Distribution Calculator

P(X = k), P(X ≤ k), P(X ≥ k) plus mean and variance for Poisson(λ).

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Frequently asked questions

When does Poisson apply?

When events occur independently at a constant average rate, and the count over a fixed window is what you want to model — calls to a help line per hour, photons per second, defects per metre.

Why are the mean and variance both λ?

It is a defining property of the Poisson distribution. The standard deviation is therefore √λ — variability grows as the square root of the rate.

How does Poisson relate to Binomial?

Poisson(λ) is the limiting case of Binomial(n, p) as n → ∞ and p → 0 with n·p = λ held fixed. So it approximates rare events over many trials.